Short Timer's Attitude Since 1980. Brought To You By A Large Dose Of Reality.... Not The Kind Seen On TV. 

"The majority of unskilled investors stubbornly hold onto their losses when the losses are small and reasonable. They could get out cheaply, but being emotionally involved and human, they keep waiting and hoping until their loss gets much bigger and costs them dearly."
-- William O’Neil

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Lemme check and see if the local Ford dealer can get me one...

GIMME A BREAK!!!!! ... SpZHx0snSh

Stay tooned....

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Dem Changes.... 

One of the most difficult investing skills to master is being persistent and confident while not crossing the line to being stubborn and obstinate. It is a very fine line and you will never get it quite right now matter how hard you try.
Reverend Shark

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I wuz listening to the first Electric Flag LP one evening and my wife sez, "Who are all these white guys, trying so hard to sound black?" Well, that was pretty much true of Nick, Michael, and Barry. But it was Buddy Miles singing that particular song at that time... so I handed her the jacket so's she could look at the pitchur... ... detailpage

 ... ics-2013-2 ... ece-2013-2

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Dem Changes..... 

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NINERS!!!!!!!!.........Good Game To Watch. Both Teams Lacked Consistency. Both Teams Came Up Short Big Time. Niners Came Up Shorter Laster. Congrats Ravens. 

"Nothing in the world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan, 'Press on,' has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race."
—Calvin Coolidge

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Yet more from the "IF ONLY" file... An SF guitar band, predating 'most everybody....

Eighty eight% stocks; 12% bonds. Not all in... but close. Going with the trend, eyes open, just like always. I know where the door is, but I'm not leaning toward it yet. Working the 401, 'cuz the money works for me. ... 9567.story

A close look at the republican claptrap about "The hidden wealth of the poor" and "Mitt ain't really leaving anybody behind". ... -the-poor/ ... -hurt.html ... py/266805/ ... rices.html

Stay tooned....

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"Analog Man" In A Digital World. Joe Walsh. See The Guitar Center Special. Count me In...  

"Patience is waiting. Not passively waiting; that is laziness. But to keep going when the going is hard and slow -- that is patience."
-- Unknown

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JEEZUZ!!!! Gallagher And Lindley Together! Unfortunately Eric Burdon's Their Cross To Bear... The Burdon Is Too Much For Them To Carry... ... nbc-2013-1
Piss Fight. ... ;_r=1& ... verything/ ... cy-debate/ ... more-88798

4+% Gain In A Month. Something To Protect. There Will Be Down Periods This Year. More Up Than Down Is The Goal. 80%/20% Stocks/Bonds. It's Worked So Far....

Bloomberg visits my world... ... YqfVg.html ... -portugal/

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Pretty Good....Not Bad....Can't Complain. Actually, All These Realities Are About The Same. Siegel Schwall. 

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Ya Gotta Temper A Life Lived WFO With Enough Quiet Contemplation To Appreciate It All. Yin And Yang, All In And Walking Away From The Table, Depending On Whatever Is Right At The Time. 

"The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money."
— Alexis de Tocqueville

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In an era where many of the singers from the 60's, 70's, and 80's made their sound by racking their voices and are now croaking their way through nostalgia acts in Vegas, it's nice to hear Ann Wilson, who had a great set of pipes to start with and took care of them. Yeah, the song is overexposed and I expect to hear it on a linoleum commercial soon, but the audience seemed to like it... even the 3 geezers in the high buck seats.

I got long and stayed long inna 401 plan into the teeth of the silly ass manufactured "Kliff Krisis" and it worked out OK.... Thinkin' about bankin' it at some point.


So, about 3/4 of a lifetime ago, my wife said to me that the middle son, a personable, bright, intelligent, bookish, very likeable kid, would probably be better off for something physical he was accomplished at. The kid was small, slight, and put together like a stick figure made of popsicle sticks and scotch tape. Football and rugby were out. So, we bought him a bolt action, .22 rifle and I taught him to handle firearms and shoot. I'd taught his mother to shoot and handle firearms previously and it all worked out rather well. He learned how to be responsible in handling something that extended his personal power far beyond his stature and that he could feel confident about what he had and what he could do and it was actually a lot cooler to keep his mouth shut than running his mouth off. And a few years latter my wife was able to deal with pistol that the part time deputy sheriff left in the waiting room/kids play area of the medical facility she ran.
So this Christmas, my son said to me, "Does the NRA realize that they are not helping? That they are like PETA with their totally out beyond where the buses run position?"
I have to say that the thought of a pair of George Zimmerman armed to the teeth volunteers showing up at the opposite sides of the schoolyard at the same time makes my blood run cold... ... -do-2013-1 ... f=business

 ... ife-2013-1 ... 014-2013-1 ... ked-2013-1

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Another New Year, Another Political Train Wreck. I Feel I'm Too Mature To Watch Pro Wrestling, Roller Derby, And Destruction Derbies Any More. My Wife Says I'm Too Mature To Watch Jello Wrestling. My Inner Junior High School Kid Sez " Thanks Gawd For Congress And Political Train Wrecks. DID YOU SEE THAT!!!!!!!" 

Crime pays - but before you go out and start rigging global interest rates, trading with the enemy or laundering money for the drug cartels, do make sure that you are deemed either 'too big to fail' by regulators or you're able to get the President on the phone.
-- Stacy Herbert

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Adrian Belew;

And Now... ... tar-noise/ ... save-japan ... ut/266687/ ... cal-cliff/ ... are=f4dcd# ... me-2012-12 ... e-way?lite ... ehner.html ... 3IaI-Ao8xs

 ... 3657.story ... SBoWg.html

Fiscal cliff bill. 157 pages of what is needed and a whole buncha stuff pasted on while you were celebrating last night... ... iff-2013-1

6 Things You Won't Believe That Are In The Fiscal Cliff Bill That The Senate Passed At 2 AM While Most Americans Were Drunk
Read more: ... z2GlBYMRnE

Ladies And Gentlemen: Here's The Date Of Your Next Fiscal Cliff
Read more:

Great News, Rich Americans! Congress Just Raised Taxes On Workers While Saving Investors Billions
Read more: ... z2GlDYSQ6G
Great News For Romney Voters -- Congress Just Socked It To The 47%
Read more: ... z2GlEjrONT ... more-87887 ... can-party/

Wed.... ... ent-2013-1 ... sis-2013-1

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Well, The End Of The World On The Dec 21st Certainly Was Unspectacular. But Our 31st Wedding Anniversary The Same Evening Was Pretty Cool. I'm Down Wid Dat.... 

People only accept change when they are faced with necessity, and only recognize necessity when a crisis is upon them.
-- Jean Monnet

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Surf Music From A Simpler Time... ... re=related
Surf music And SRV Also From A Simpler Time. It's Been That Long.

"Never Hear Surf Music Again" J. Hendrix

Speaking Of Stuff You've Done That Seemed Like
An Idea At The Time...

Trying To Wipe Off The Sauce And Put It Back Inna Can And Straighten And Unboil The Noodles And Put Them Back Inna Package ... wants.html

Huge ... ay-2012-12 ... more-87593 ... ek-2012-12 ... nt-2012-12 ... al-2012-12 ... like-this/ ... n-pledges/ ... hare=8c5d5

Special Holiday Stuff.... ... w%E2%80%9D ... itics.html ... 12-12?op=1 ... -time.html ... n-november ... id=1487470 ... tions.html ... al-cliff-4 ... ve-2012-12

Thurs... ... 05723.html

Saturday Afternoon ... This is a bridge to the year ending post next Tuesday.... ... se-2012-12 ... ng-2012-12 ... ss-2012-12 ... is-2012-12 ... ng-2012-12 ... ts-2012-12 ... es-2012-12 ... ll-2012-12 ... nt-2012-12 ... airy-tale/

This One Chart Shows That The Fiscal Cliff Fiasco Is The Republicans' Fault
Read more: ... z2GYeY9bsy ... ne-2012-12 ... rd-2012-12 ... al-2012-12

Monday... ... ff-2012-12

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The Crux Of The Matter At Sandy Hook Was Not The Means, It Was The Desire To Do Harm. See Bath School Disaster and Tim McVeigh. Think The Gun Control Debate Is Rough? Try Preventative Detention And Forced Medication For The Suspicion Of Intent Or Capacity To Do Harm. I'd Just As Soon These Were The Last Murders Of ANY Kind. But I See Attacking The Root Cause As Fiendishly Difficult, Problematic, And Worth The Effort. I Don't See A Clear Path.... 

"Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man's character, give him power"
-- Abraham Lincoln

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A Different Christmas Camel...

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Seasonings Greetings, Christmas Goose, Mulled Wine And Cider, And Nutmeg Floating on the 'Nog. 

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See, It's The Whole Pension Deficit Disorder Thing.... See. Like Corporate Profits And Wages vs GDP... Visual Aids Below. Think Right Wing Corporate Political Activities Seeking A Sponsorship By Doc Johnson Enterprises. 

All of the great leaders have had one characteristic in common: it was the willingness to confront unequivocally the major anxiety of their people in their time. This, and not much else, is the essence of leadership.
-- John Kenneth Galbraith

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Gibson And Gretsch. For My Part, A Les Paul Sunburst And A Twin Reverb And Michael's Talent Under The Tree For Christmas Morning...
80 years of Corporate Profit/GDP vs Wages/GDP ... gh-2012-11
Can We Get A Little Reversion To The Mean Here.... ... AB1A39B56D ... AB1A39B56D ... t-century/

Two REAL Important Looks At Investing... This has been a so so year for my 401. My benchmark is the default (Balanced Pooled) fund which is a fixed mix of stocks and bonds and I'm behind it this year. I can live with that. When things got risky, I got safe. I still am way underweight stocks even though I see risk as moderate. That costs performance. Still... 6% and safety ain't bad. And I've got an 18%, an 11% and a 9% year in the last 9 years to see what I can do in a good market. Articles like these help me keep my head on straight. ... f-in-life/ ... acticians/

 ... 1264.story ... el-2012-12 ... ll-2012-12 ... cal-cliffd ... ke/265693/ ... e/265804/#

Fuckin' "A" Tweetie Bird !!! ... stupidity/

Darkness Darkness.... or not. ... p&_r=0 ... page=true#

tuesday... ... oil-spill/

Wed... ... sa-2012-12 ... eo-2012-12 ... mp;index=0

Stay Tooned....

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A Death In The Family.......... It'll Be A Minimal Activity Week. Let's Stir In A Virus Sunday Eve To Wednesday (So Far, But I'm Feeling Better..) To Make It Even More Of A Downer Week.......... Maybe I'll Distract Myself Posting Here. 

For purposes of action, nothing is more useful than narrowness of thought combined with energy of will.
-- Henri Frederic Ameil

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Back to the past, in a period that was so dark but with so much promise in the future. ... =endscreen ... re=related ... ure=fvwrel ... ure=relmfu ... =endscreen ... ure=relmfu ... M&NR=1 ... ure=relmfu ... ure=relmfu ... ure=relmfu ... shows.html ... looms.html ... e&_r=0 ... l&_r=0 ... r-debtors/

Tues. ... -recovery/ ... ng-2012-11 ... on-2012-11 ... ve-2012-11

This Explains A Lot....... ... ma-2012-11 ... e-edition/ ... tique4.php ... 748?page=1 ... 735.column

Wednesday........... ... -moynihan/ ... community/

Thursday....... ... ul-2012-11

Beginner's Stuff ... er-an-hour ... er-goggles ... -subprime/

80 years of corporate profit/GDP vs wages/GDP ... gh-2012-11

Stay Tooned.............

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Voting Is Your Voice. It Is A Life And Death Choice In Regard To The Dignity Of Man And The Destiny Of Tomorrow. On The Other Hand, Every Time You Vote, It Encourages A Politician. Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't....  

"I argue very well. Ask any of my remaining friends. I can win an argument on any topic, against any opponent. People know this, and steer clear of me at parties. Often, as a sign of their great respect, they don't even invite me."
--Dave Barry

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Post election silliness. ... re=related

The Dignity Of Man, And The Destiny Of Tomorrow...

10% Stocks/90% Bonds.... ... +%27ANV%27 ... 65295.html

Tues... ... obs-arent/ ... ever-work/ ... -committee ... 0246.story

• I'm not worried about the fiscal cliff because I've seen the end of Thelma and Louise and that plan worked out fine. (@upsidetrader)

WED... ... s-say.html ... with-that/ ... es-2012-11

Stay Tooned...

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Ya get to my age, you get used to losing the old timers. You become an old timer and you get used to losing your contemporaries; I went to my first High School reunion this year and I was surrounded by geezers, and not as many as there shoulda been. But when you lose one of the younger guys, it ain't expected and it stings. RIP Redbone.  

Our activity as investors is not to try to identify tops and bottoms - it is to constantly align our exposure to risk in proportion to the return that we can expect from that risk, given prevailing evidence.
-- John Hussman

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Smokin' ... re=related

So I'm boppin' home Thursday Afternoon and I blow by a semi flatbed w/ handful of stationary generators on it and the tractor is a plain white wit the FEMA emblem onnit. Four miles down the road in the same direction is the ex Moffet Naval Air Station, now NASA/quasi government/Airforce One, Orion P3, etc base.

Betcha the next day there were a bunch more generators on the East Coast and fewer on the West Coast. Whadda YOU think about throwing natural disaster responsibilities on to each individual state? ... -wins.html ... rm-2012-11

Election..... ... ey-2012-11 ... esume.html

wed.... ... JsIb2_A_yA ... falls.html ... -hope.html ... money.html

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It's An Interlinked 24/7 Real Time Personal Publishing Social Media Driven World. And I'm An Antisocial, Extremely Private, Cynical, And Snarly Curdmugeon. So I Went To The Stocktoberfest New New Media Conference Last Week And Hungout With Web Visonaries, Social Media App Developers, Retired And Active Venture Capitalists, Entrepreneurs, International Financeers, And Code Monkeys. I Feel Like A Fish Who Just Got Introduced To The Wonders Of The Bicycle.  

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Weather and Politics. Change On The Horizon. One Inexorable, The Other Maybe Not...... 

"The art of investment is the art of selling. Buying is a lesser skill and holding requires no skill at all."
-- Harry Schultz

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Not Only The Famously Dead Before Their Time, But The Supporting Cast Are Dropping By The Way Side....

For a detailed explanation of how the Romney-Ryan tax plan is able to cut taxes by $5 trillion without exploding the deficit or requiring tax hikes on the middle class, simply click on the link below. ... scene.html ... tionships/ ... n-2012-10/ ... l&_r=0

Monday... ... 12-10?op=1 ... ntPage=all


Gimme a Break!!!!! ... n-edition/

27%/73% stocks/bonds... getting lighter...

Thurs Eve.
20%/80% stocks/bonds... Pretty comfortable wit it too.

Stay Tooned...

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I Gotta Bad Case O' Short Timer's Attitude... I've Had It Since The Early 80's.  

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If You Are Smart, Talented, And Lucky, It Seems You'd Be Unstoppable. But The Third Leg Of The Stool Trumps The Other Two Hands Down.... 

"No one that ever lived has ever had enough power, prestige, or knowledge to overcome the basic condition of all life -- you win some and you lose some."
-- Ken Keyes, Jr.

Chartz And Table Zup @

Killer... ... ign=121006

Poetry For The Times... Pretty Much All Times And Every Time. Check the Years RK Was Born And Died. Pretty Much Timeless. ... existence/

1980 to 2000 and 2000 to now. What I do with my 401 is situation dependent. This is an active management period for my self managed plan. When the time is right, I got no problem sitting still and getting rewarded big time for it... But now ain't that time. Now is more of a make hay while the sun shines cuz it ain't gonna last and don't be so stupid as to stand out inna rain and get wet, cuz ya can always lose what you've made being asleep at the switch... Pretty clear to me...

Tuesday... ... onomy?lite ... aults?lite

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I'm Not Going To Vote For Romney, But I'd Sure Like To Take Advantage Of Tax Rules Like He Does....  

“The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.”
-- John Kenneth Galbraith

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I went to see Billy Cobham back inna 70's and Larry Coryell was the opening act. I expected to see his "11th House" electric band. Instead, he walked out onstage carrying an acoustic guitar in front of a boisterous crowd wired for an electric WFO evening. The sound set up was AWESOME and so was Larry. His opening number got a 2 minute standing O and he left us all hammered flat. Here he is from about then, and I believe he has some help with him.... ... re=related

Romney!!!! ... nefit.html ... x-records/

How Republican!

 ... cide-pool/ ... -jobs.html

Monday... ... t_freeland ... lionaires/ ... bonds.html ... story.html ... ml?hpid=z3 ... omy-2012-9 ... arns-sins/

Tues... ... fit-1.html ... n-florida/

Thurs... ... check.html

Stay Tooned...

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Ride Fast; Take Chances. Never Risk Your Tombstone Bearing The Epitaph "Nobody Noticed Him When He Was Here, And He Left No Mark When He Was Gone". No Fear 

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Yee HAAAAA!!! (Famous Chinese Rodeo Cowboy. Son Of Waa Hoooo.) 

"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails."
-- William Arthur Ward

Chartz And Table Zup... @

My kids spent 2 years plus in England and through them I met one of their acquaintances who was also a racer like I was at the time. We sat down with a beer each and were watching some IOM footage and I hear him going..." down two..left..left.. down two..hard right..up under his breath. He had run the race a time or two and had once gone offroading at over 100MPH, broken a wrist in a tank slapper, got it back on the pavement and finished the race.
I was never even close to that crazy. ... re=related ... re=related ... re=related

That's Impressive....

Lower Left To Upper Right. I'm 65%/35% Stocks/Bonds And Prolly Getting More Aggressive Really Quickly. Don't Get Me Wrong... I Don't Think This Ends Well. But I Never Made A Dollar That I Couldn't Find SOME Use For..... And Even In The Dark, I Know Where The Doorway IS....

 ... f=business ... wanted=all ... on-romney/ ... wanted=all ... r=2&hp
BULLSHIT ... n-bullshit ... wanted=all ... s-healthy/

Monday ... eform.html ... tims-.html ... utiny.html ... CFF5CE1576

Wed... ... ities.html ... ising.html ... -says.html ... rency.html ... e-edition/

Stay Tooned....

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As I Was Tellin' One O' My Richmond HomeBoyz.... Homie Does Not Engage In That Recreational Pastime. 

"Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies, not truths. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend and step off before it is discredited."
-- George Soros

Chartz And Table Zup @

Local Band From Back Inna Day... Everybody Knows Them From The Last Number. There's Always More To A Band Than Their Top 40 Hit... ... ure=fvwrel

Doin' OK... Holding My Own Against The Defined Benefit Option, While Missing The Drop This Year...And The Bounce. Twenty Years Into The 401, It's More About Me Minimizing Risk. When The Risk Is Low, THEN Is When It Comes Together More Like A Symphony And Less Like A Train Wreck. The 5% and 10% Plus Years Of The Last Decade Will Prolly Show Up Again, But On Their Own Sweet Time...
That's When The The 401 Gets Low Effort And Low Time Intensive...


Bummer... ... adder?lite ... yet-again/

Holy Shit. This is painful to watch. ... r_embedded ... um=twitter

Thurs, ... 1&_r=1

Stay Tooned....

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'scuse Me.... Albert King 

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Doo Wah Diddy.... Having Said That, It Pretty Much Brands Me As The Anti- Millennial... 

"Being shot out of a cannon is always better than being squeezed out of a tube,
that's why God invented fast motorcycles bubba..."
-- Hunter S Thompson

Chartz And Table Zup @ ...

pSYCHAdelIC... ... re=related ... ure=relmfu ... tyFRF7Rqg8 ... ure=relmfu ... tyFRF7Rqg8 ... -the-rich/ ... -hole.html ... -real.html ... tion_.html ... _page=true

 ... p-discuss/

Monday... ... t--mahoney ... stability/ ... sion-47th/ ... own-clown/

Tuesday ... -bull.html

Wed ... craze.html ... -children/ ... of-wusses/ ... 38935.html ... olumn-130/

Thursday... ... _blog.html ... ree-words/ ... .html?_r=2 ... itorsPicks ... s-thinking

Stay Tooned...

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No Blog This Week.... 

60% bonds, Balance Stocks

See ya next weekend....

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My Toast Is Cold And My Orange Juice Is Hot.... That's The Bag I'm In.... Fred Neal  

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Purple haze all in my brain. Lately things just don't seem the same. Actin' funny, but I don't know why. 'Scuse me while I kiss this fly... 

Never appeal to a man's 'better nature.' He may not have one. Invoking his self-interest gives you more leverage.
-- Robert A. Heinlein, The Notebooks of Lazarus Long

Chartz And Table Zup @ ... ure=fvwrel ... re=related ... re=related ... re=related ... re=related ... re=related

Thing is, being a cynic, you're really hardly ever disappointed by what comes down. And most surprises are pleasant ones. This doesn't surprise me. ... es-2005-2/ ... struction/ ... -says.html

From Jeff Miller's "A Dash Of Insight" @

I've been following this stuff for well over a decade and what Jeff pays attention to DEFINITELY gets stirred in... THIS is what it takes to manage a self managed 401 plan. ... ?track=rss ... he-nation/

It looks like the market is climbing a wall of worry. Price appears to be rising with time. I don't like the macro, I don't like the election volatility, I don't like the fiscal cliff, I don't like the current and threatened warfare inna Mid East, There's a lot I don't like. But I can see a path to muddle through and I can see some upside drivers. So, discipline says toss a dollar or two out there because. But discipline also says don't leave it unwatched and keep an eye on the technicals....

Tuesday... ... saw-coming ... f-problem/ ... my-fallon/

Wednesday... ... gress.html ... computers/ ... rns-2012-8 ... ny-things/ ... mplacency/ ... age-fraud/

Stay tooned....

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